Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72.3%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 25, 22, 12:39 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Resolves as YES if >3 latinoamerican countries become a single government or form a supranational organization (similar to Europe), before 2030.