PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 8, 2026, 6:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
15% to 24% No observed price
15% to 24% No observed priceMarket quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$127.7
Low liquiditySpread
95.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 1:00 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Percent of Cattle in drought - week of October 13, 2026
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PolymarketPercent of Winter Wheat in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Cotton in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Hogs in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported D1-D4 drought percentage for hay acreage in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 13, 2026.
- Brackets: Under 15% / 15% to 24% / 25% to 34% / 35% to 44% / 45% to 54% / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- D1-D4 is the cumulative share of national hay acreage in moderate drought (D1) or worse, which is the "D1-D4" column the source publishes.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
- The first value published for that week is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff.
