Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.8%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Mar 13, 23, 10:38 PMSep 2, 26, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes12%
Volume trend
$500Jul 184d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Will Mark Zuckerberg be revealed to be a cuck by 2030?
$452.5Yes: 6.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Matt Levine have a Substack by EOY 2026?
$250Yes: 12.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWorld's first quadrillionaire before EOY 2040
$25Yes: 18.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year
$0Above $100K: 96%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?
$0Yes: 18%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Major news story in Jul 2026?
$810.3At least 3: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Fanatics to acquire BGC prediction market exchangeCrypto News
AMINA Bank weighs IPO after 69% revenue growthCrypto NewsAMINA Bank taps Cantor for potential public listingCrypto News
Metaplanet plans Bitcoin-backed bonds yielding up to 6%Crypto News
Bitmine keeps buying Ether as ETH outperforms BitcoinCointelegraph
Fanatics buys regulated exchange in bid to grow prediction markets businessCoindeskRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.