Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 18, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 92.1%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 days ago
StaleDec 4, 25, 5:13 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes92%
Volume trend
$111Jul 172d of dataJul 18
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Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.