Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 82.7%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMay 28, 24, 4:45 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the UK introduce mandatory conscription for any portion of its population before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK introduce proportional representation for general elections before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK introduce National Service before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 17, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 17, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 17, 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 17, 2026?
- Minneapolis+68.0pt99%
- Miami+22.0pt99%
- Houston+45.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $275.8K
- 24h Vol
- $261.2K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 17, 2026?
- 75° to 76°+24.0pt59.6%
- 77° to 78°-9.0pt29.4%
- 79° to 80°-2.0pt4.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 17, 2026?
- 86° to 87°+28.0pt41.2%
- 84° to 85°+26.0pt29.9%
- 83° or below+17.0pt19.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 17, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+67.0pt93.3%
- 84° to 85°-7.0pt2.9%
- 80° to 81°-40.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 17, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+48.0pt55.8%
- 78° to 79°+18.0pt38.5%
- 82° or above+2.0pt2.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 17, 2026?
- 97° to 98°+25.0pt58.5%
- 95° to 96°+25.0pt29.3%
- 99° to 100°-38.0pt7.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Busan on September 18?
- Highest temperature in London on September 18?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the UK introduce rationing due to food shortages by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 83% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will the UK introduce rationing due to food shortages by 2030? resolve?
- Will the UK introduce rationing due to food shortages by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.