What are the current odds for Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 87.1% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030? resolve?

Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves NO at the end of 2029 if the lake has not yet dried up.

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Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030?

WeatherOne-Off4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 87.1%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 18 hours ago

Stale

Jan 7, 23, 9:29 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

Resolves NO at the end of 2029 if the lake has not yet dried up.

For context see https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/06/us/great-salt-lake-disappearing-drought-climate/index.html

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Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030?

Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030?

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Frequently asked questions

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Where will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 29?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 29?

Highest temperature in Wellington on October 29?

Highest temperature in Busan on October 29?

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 29?