Will sports markets be banned from Polymarket or Kalshi by EOY at direction of the government?

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Josh Hawley: 79%

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 58: 90%

Clarity Act will pass in September

$1.9K

Yes: 35.8%

Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2033?

$177.3

Yes: 24.6%

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Will sports markets be banned from Polymarket or Kalshi by EOY at direction of the government?

One-OffRegulation Sports US Politics Crypto6mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYC

Current community forecast

Yes 9.5%

Forecasters

11

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Stale

Mar 23, 26, 1:55 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes10%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

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Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

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How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

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