Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (98%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 9:58 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes98%
No2%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Jai be in the top 5 most loved programming languages by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat programming languages are among the top 10 most popular next year?
Manifold MarketsTop 10 programming languages next year meta market, what's true after the update?
Manifold MarketsTIOBE Top 10 programming languages at start of 2027
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRules
Based on https://www.tiobe.com/tiobe-index/
- Rust just needs to enter the top 10, ie if Rust hits rank 10 at any time from now until 2030 but then drops out of the top 10 then this question still resolves YES.
- If by 2030 it hasn't hit rank 10 or higher then this questions resolves NO.
