Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 68.7%
Forecasters
197
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJan 6, 23, 5:34 PM UTCDec 31, 00, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Rick Moranis appear in Spaceballs 2?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketBad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiFuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Kalshi#2 US Spotify Song 2026
PolymarketRules
Will resolve to YES when the following resolution source is no longer available.
Open markets
MusicKALSHITop Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Dai Dai87.2%
- SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)0.9%
- Shararat0.9%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $41.8K
- 24h Vol
- $41.8K
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-14.0pt68.3%
- Yes+14.0pt31.7%
- Total Vol
- $366.2K
- 24h Vol
- $34.4K
KALSHITate McRae: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Above 2M99%
- Above 2.1M99%
- Above 2.2M99%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $67.4K
- 24h Vol
- $34.2K
KALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Sunflower1%
- AH HA1%
- KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV1%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $24.6K
- 24h Vol
- $24.6K
KALSHITaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Above 13.4M99%
- Above 13M99%
- Above 13.6M99%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $21.6K
- 24h Vol
- $21.6K
KALSHIBad Bunny: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Above 22M99%
- Above 23M99%
- Above 23.5M99%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $79.9K
- 24h Vol
- $21.5K
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- KATSEYE: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Drake: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Olivia Rodrigo: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- The Weeknd: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up? resolve?
- Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2300.
- How is Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve to YES when the following resolution source is no longer available.