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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
Manifold Markets

Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?

SpaceOne-Off2y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Yes 4.7%
Forecasters

51

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Feb 8, 25, 8:14 PMJun 1, 29, 10:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes5%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets

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Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets