Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (93.3%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 4:57 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes6.7%
No93.3%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Estonian Environment Agency (Riigi Ilmateenistus) officially records any snowfall—including snow (lumi), snow grains, or sleet (lörts)—at any of its official meteorological monitoring stations in Estonia during the period of September 1, 2026, through September 30, 2026, inclusive.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Verification details:
- The primary source of truth is the Estonian Environment Agency (ilmateenistus.ee).
- Resolution will be determined using the official September 2026 climate summary (usually published in early October) or real-time daily observation data from the agency.
