Current community forecast
No 57.6%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleDec 20, 25, 8:53 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will I pay any money to Manifold during 2026 for something in the site?
Manifold MarketsWill cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?
Manifold MarketsIf Manifold begins allowing real-money withdrawals, will its accuracy improve?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRules
I won’t bet on this market.
- I’m wondering if I’ll spend money on manifold in 2026? I highly doubt I’d buy mana, unless the offer was really good.
- I haven’t spent money on here before, but I’d be open to purchasing something like a subscription for at least a month, if they added that.
- Any spend of $0.99 nz cents or more counts.
- Manifold is probably the most I’ve been into a game/site and not spent money on it.
- Will they add something that makes me want to in 2026?
