Current community forecast
No 95%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 21, 26, 12:43 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a publicly available LLM/Agent beat a 2000 rated Elo chess player online rapid chess by March 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if I surpass 2000 elo in either rapid or blitz once in the year 2026, otherwise resolves NO
- Rapid Elo (I mainly play rapid) at the time of making this market: 1402
- My account: https://www.chess.com/member/TrashPanda20082
- I'm planning on playing/practicing(puzzles, studying openings, endgames, watching chess videos, etc.) almost daily and am currently attending a chess club weekly.
- I'll update this description if/when that changes.