Current community forecast
No 67.7%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:22 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
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KalshiRules
Gukesh won the 2024 World Chess Championship.
- Will he manage to defend his title?
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026
- (Identical market to: source market)
Open markets
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- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
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- 24h Vol
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- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 68% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship? resolve?
- Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Gukesh won the 2024 World Chess Championship.