Current community forecast
No 67.7%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 5:49 PM UTCSep 14, 26, 3:02 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Gukesh - Sindarov score in the 2026 World Chess Championship
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Manifold MarketsRules
Despite being World Champion, Gukesh has been in poor form recently and is in danger of falling below 2700 elo.
- This puts him below multiple others who will be on his team.
- Will he still be given board 1 due to being world champion or will he be demoted to a lower board based on rating and recent performance?
- Resolves YES if Gukesh plays on Board 1 during 2026 Olympiad.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Gukesh be board 1 for India at Olympiad??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 68% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Gukesh be board 1 for India at Olympiad? resolve?
- Will Gukesh be board 1 for India at Olympiad? is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is Will Gukesh be board 1 for India at Olympiad? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Despite being World Champion, Gukesh has been in poor form recently and is in danger of falling below 2700 elo.