Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 75%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 17, 23, 1:08 AM UTCJan 2, 40, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Fully realistic virtual reality (VR) has the potential to revolutionize various aspects of our lives, including entertainment, education, communication, and professional training.
- Achieving a fully realistic virtual reality would require significant advancements in a range of technologies, including immersive displays, haptic feedback, audio systems, and real-time rendering of complex environments.
- Resolution criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st 2040, a virtual reality system is publicly and credibly documented to have:
- Provided an immersive visual experience with a field of view (FOV) of at least 210 degrees horizontally and 130 degrees vertically, a resolution of at least 60 pixels per degree, and a refresh rate of 90 Hz or higher.
- Enabled real-time tracking and rendering of the user's body movements, facial expressions, and gestures with a latency of less than 20 milliseconds.
