Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 72.9%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Feb 8, 26, 1:29 PM UTCJan 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026?
PolymarketWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
PolymarketNetflix headcount in 2026
KalshiWill Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still be in a relationship of some kind at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsNFL: Will Brandon Aubrey kick a 65+ yd NFL FG OR any movie gross $2.8B+ worldwide by Feb 28, 2027? (2/28/27)
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift @ Kansas City Chiefs Game Tracker
Manifold MarketsRules
https://m.imdb.com/name/nm12118373/?ref_=ext_shr_lnk
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Denver Dubois receives at least one film credit (acting role in a theatrical film, streaming film, or direct-to-video film) that is released or announced as in-production during the calendar year 2026.
- Credits must be verifiable on IMDb or other major entertainment databases.
- Television, web series, and short films do not count.
- The market resolves NO if no such film credits are documented by December 31, 2026.