Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (99.1%)
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, 3:49 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 99.1%
Forecasters
53
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 days ago
StaleJun 3, 26, 1:46 AMJul 12, 26, 3:49 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0.9%
No99.1%
0.9%
99.1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall90% match · verified | Low | 70% | — | $59.9M | $85.4M | 16 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 99% | — | — | — | 15 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Closed
Resolved
Max Holloway (70%)
69.3%
30.7%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$93.3M
24h Vol$59.9M
KALSHIRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k90.0%KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago
KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago$2.9k90.0%KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago
KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago$1.8k90.0%KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago
KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago$1.7k83.0%KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago
KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago$4.2k85.0%KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago
KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago$2.5k80.0%KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago
KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago$1.8k22.0%KALSHIConor McGregor — Yes16d ago
KALSHIConor McGregor — Yes16d ago$1.5k80.0%KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d ago
KALSHIConor McGregor — No16d agoVolume trend
$1.1kJul 86d of dataJul 13
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.