Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 9:34 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 4:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
bluelinfish1 and lunetteb are users on Mahjong Soul currently at St3 and Ms3 ranks respectively.
- Which one will promote first? If it cannot be determined which promotes first, the market resolves 50%.
- This is unlikely as MJS stats website has timestamps for each ranked match.
- Stats pages respectively at
- https://amae-koromo.sapk.ch/player/124604916/12
- https://amae-koromo.sapk.ch/player/124556426/12