Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, 2:53 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleJan 27, 26, 1:23 PMJul 12, 26, 2:53 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Limitless
2026 World Cup: African nation to reach the semi-finals
Closed
Resolved
No (50%)
50%
50%
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$160.9K
24h Vol$72.7K
LIMITLESSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Will an African team reach the semi-finals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Closed
99%
1%
Community forecast21 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$368Jul 84d of dataJul 11
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.