LimitlessClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCLimited verified dataThis market resolved: No (50%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probabilityYes 50%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$72.7K
Liquidity
$50
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleMay 22, 26, 2:40 PMJul 13, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes50%
No50%
50%
50%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will an African team reach the semi-finals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Closed
99%
1%
Community forecast21 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Will an African team reach the semi-finals of the 2026 World Cup?
Closed
Resolved
No (99%)
99%
1%
Community forecast23 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to "YES" if at least one of the following nations — Morocco, Senegal, Algeria, Tunisia, Egypt, Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, Cape Verde, South Africa, or DR Congo — advances to the semi-finals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO."
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 19, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or the semi-final matchups have not been officially declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "NO."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$72.7kJul 65d of dataJul 10
Related Markets
Justin Bieber monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?
$310.1↑ 130m: 45%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Shakira monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?
$16.3↑ 107m: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Lincoln Red Imps vs Mjallby
$151.5KLincoln Red Imps advances: 7%
KALSHI
KALSHI
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
$38.4KQatar: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIHeart of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz
$31KHeart of Midlothian advances: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIWhich team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$19.1KSpain: 20.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
NFL urges CFTC to strengthen rules on sports prediction markets: reportThe Block
KuCoin Marks Major Sponsorship Milestone as Ambassador Pogačar Wins Record Fifth Tour de FranceBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Worldcoin’s WLD Jumps 8% on Grayscale ETF FilingDecrypt
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindeskRules
This market will resolve to "YES" if at least one of the following nations — Morocco, Senegal, Algeria, Tunisia, Egypt, Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, Cape Verde, South Africa, or DR Congo — advances to the semi-finals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO."
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 19, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or the semi-final matchups have not been officially declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "NO."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.