Will a Boeing plane be involved in an accident with 50+ fatalities before an Airbus plane?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.9%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleSep 5, 25, 7:48 PM UTCSep 5, 40, 7:41 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Ignores incidents with 50+ fatalities involving only other company's planes.
- Resolves N/A if planes from both manufacturers are directly involved in the relevant incident.
