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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. Who will win World Lightweight Championship?
Manifold Markets

Who will win World Lightweight Championship?

SportsOne-OffCombat SportsEsports29d
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Ilia Topuria 70.3%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters

3

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Stale
Jun 11, 26, 11:53 PMJul 11, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Ilia Topuria70%

Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the UFC Lightweight Championship unification bout between Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250, scheduled to take place on June 14, 2026.
  • Ilia Topuria will resolve to YES if Topuria is officially declared the winner.
  • Justin Gaethje will resolve to YES if Gaethje is officially declared the winner.
  • Draw / No Contest / Cancellation: If the fight ends in a draw, a no-contest, or is canceled or postponed past June 30, 2026, the market will resolve to N/A.
  • The primary source of truth for resolution will be the official UFC Results.

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Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve based on the official outcome of the UFC Lightweight Championship unification bout between Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250, scheduled to take place on June 14, 2026.
  • Ilia Topuria will resolve to YES if Topuria is officially declared the winner.
  • Justin Gaethje will resolve to YES if Gaethje is officially declared the winner.
  • Draw / No Contest / Cancellation: If the fight ends in a draw, a no-contest, or is canceled or postponed past June 30, 2026, the market will resolve to N/A.
  • The primary source of truth for resolution will be the official UFC Results.