Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastLamine Yamal 29.6%-9.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 9:07 AMNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Lamine Yamal30%
Volume trend
$45Jul 202d of dataJul 21
Related Markets
Deportivo Toluca FC vs Pumas UNAM: First Team to Score
$1.2KNo Goal: 6%
KALSHI
KALSHIWill Cristiano Ronaldo play at the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$300Yes: 14.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSClub Necaxa vs CF Monterrey: First Team to Score
$0Club Necaxa: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
Tromsoe IL vs FC Hradec Kralove: First Team to Score
$0Tromsoe IL: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI2026 FIFA World Cup prop bets
$15.7KUSA to reach the Quarter-finals or further: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be the top goalscorer at the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$1.7KKylian Mbappe: 3.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Worldcoin’s WLD Jumps 8% on Grayscale ETF FilingDecrypt
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
OpenAI quietly adds Kalshi World Cup odds to ChatGPT: ReportCointelegraph
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindesk
Polymarket odds put Mbappé at 32.5% to win 2026 Ballon d'Or after +5.45ppBlockchain.News
Polymarket Golden Ball odds hold at 50% as Golden Boot race heats upBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official announcement of the winner of the 2026 Men's Ballon d'Or (70th edition) co-organized by France Football and UEFA.
- The primary source of truth will be official announcements on UEFA and L'Équipe / France Football.
- The award ceremony is scheduled for October 26, 2026.
- The market will resolve once the official winner is crowned.
- If one of the listed players wins, that player's option will resolve to YES and all other options will resolve to NO.