Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastTadej Pogacar 99%+1.1%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
85
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Aug 4, 25, 11:51 PMJul 26, 26, 10:59 PM
Trends
0.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Tadej Pogacar99%
Volume trend
$4.3kJul 819d of dataJul 26
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The 2026 Tour de France will begin on July 4th 2026 in Barcelona, Spain, and will likely end on July 26th 2026.
- This market will resolve to the winner of the general classification, aka the yellow jersey.
- Previous winners: 2025 - Tadej Pogacar 2024 - Tadej Pogacar 2023 - Jonas Vingegaard 2022 - Jonas Vingegaard 2021 - Tadej Pogacar 2020 - Tadej Pogacar