Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastFrance 62%+12.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 12:06 PMJul 18, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
France62%
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on which national team wins the third-place playoff match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- The team that wins the third-place match, scheduled for July 18, 2026, will resolve to YES.
- The other two options will resolve to NO.
- If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the match is officially played and a winner is determined.
- The primary source of truth for this market is the official FIFA World Cup Website.