Current community forecast
1500m 30.4%+6.1ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+6.1 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 27, 24, 3:59 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
As of the posting of this question, Jakob currently holds the world records in the 2000m, 3000m, and 2 mile.
- His career goal is to break the world record in every distance from 1500m to the marathon.
- Which ones will he succeed in breaking by the end of 2030?
- Update 2025-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Record Type Consideration:
- Only overall records are counted for this market.
- Indoor records do not affect the outcome.
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which world records will Jakob Ingebrigtsen hold at any point by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices 1500m at 30% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which world records will Jakob Ingebrigtsen hold at any point by the end of 2030? resolve?
- Which world records will Jakob Ingebrigtsen hold at any point by the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Which world records will Jakob Ingebrigtsen hold at any point by the end of 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As of the posting of this question, Jakob currently holds the world records in the 2000m, 3000m, and 2 mile.