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Which pieces of lost media will be found by 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jun 16, 2026, 6:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3

Current community forecast

Any missing Dr Who episode 100%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

2

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 41 days ago

Stale

May 4, 24, 2:05 PMJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Any missing Dr Who episode

100%

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

London After Midnight (1927 silent movie)38%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

I don't know a lot about lost media, so I only added a few notorious examples that I've heard of.

I'd like people to add responses of lost media that they find interesting.
Please make your responses as specific and unambiguous as possible.
I will resolve options as YES only if the material is not only found, but also made available publicly.
If parts of a piece of media are found (e. g. half of a Doctor Who episode) I'll resolve to a percentage.
I will not count finds that are not the actual media form that people are looking for (i. e. stills of a movie instead of footage, sheet music to a lost song instead of the original recording etc.).

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Rules

I don't know a lot about lost media, so I only added a few notorious examples that I've heard of.

I'd like people to add responses of lost media that they find interesting.
Please make your responses as specific and unambiguous as possible.
I will resolve options as YES only if the material is not only found, but also made available publicly.
If parts of a piece of media are found (e. g. half of a Doctor Who episode) I'll resolve to a percentage.
I will not count finds that are not the actual media form that people are looking for (i. e. stills of a movie instead of footage, sheet music to a lost song instead of the original recording etc.).