Which of the host countries will make it the farthest in the World Cup?
SportsOne-OffSoccerLatin AmericaFIFA World Cup17dManifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastUSA 47%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleJun 19, 26, 11:04 PMJul 19, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
USA47%
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the co-host country (USA, Mexico, or Canada) that progresses the furthest in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- Farthest progress is defined by the tournament round reached (e.g., reaching the Round of 16 is further than being eliminated in the Round of 32).
- If multiple host countries are eliminated in the same round (including the group stage or any knockout stage), the following tiebreakers will apply in order:
- Goal Differential: The country with the highest overall goal differential (total goals scored minus total goals conceded) across all matches played in the tournament up to and including their elimination match.
- Latest Elimination Time: If overall goal differentials are also tied, the country whose final elimination match ended last chronologically (determined by the exact time the full-time whistle is blown in UTC) will be declared the winner.