What are the current odds for What will be the next “Contest” or “Prizes” announced by Open Philanthropy??

Manifold Markets prices AI Worldviews at 21.7% as of October 19, 2026.

What will be the next “Contest” or “Prizes” announced by Open Philanthropy?

One-OffAwards13y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Other 25.7%

Leader of 5 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Aug 22, 23, 3:04 AM UTCJan 2, 40, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Open Philanthropy has announced two contests so far: the the named outcome Prizes and the named outcome Contest.

What will the next contest they announce be? This question will resolve when they announce the next contest, or, for the "none" category, if circumstances make it extremely unlikely they will ever do so again (e.g. they dissolve), or by Jan.1, 2040.