Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastAugust 96.5%+1.2ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleJun 5, 26, 11:52 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0.2%
0.4%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
July1%
Volume trend
$500Jul 154d of dataJul 25
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The album must be officially released through a major or independent label and be available on major streaming platforms (Spotify, Apple Music, Tidal, etc.) and/or physical formats.
- A full-length album is defined as a minimum of 8 original tracks.
- EPs, compilations, features on other artists' projects, or Boygenius releases do not count toward resolution.