Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current community forecast7550.00 or lower? 100%Leader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 days ago
StaleJun 5, 26, 10:01 AMJun 30, 26, 8:17 PM
Probability Timeline
8000.00 or higher?0%
7900.00 or higher?0%
7825.00 or higher?0%
7777.77 or higher?0%
7725.00 or higher?0%
7675.00 or higher?0%
7625.00 or higher?0%
7600.00 or higher?0%
7550.00 or lower?99%
7500.00 or lower?97.4%
7450.00 or lower?99%
7400.00 or lower?91.9%
7300.00 or lower?100%
7200.00 or lower?0%
7000.00 or lower?0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 7550.00 or lower?
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall82% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $2.7K | $0 | 26 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 20 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?
3.0 ptsClosed
+5.5pt100%
+4.5pt100%
+40.5pt100%
+11 more outcomes
16 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$648.2K
24h Vol$2.7K
POLYMARKETRules
Hits before market creation don’t count.
- Market created at 7,584.31
- Resolves according to Google finance.
- Close prices only.
- Intraday and after hours don’t count.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.3k99.9%POLYMARKETNoGurupolimarket27d ago
POLYMARKETNoGurupolimarket27d agoRelated Markets
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Hits before market creation don’t count.
- Market created at 7,584.31
- Resolves according to Google finance.
- Close prices only.
- Intraday and after hours don’t count.