On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2027 Atlantic season storms reach?
WeatherCustom1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 5:41 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastWill Bill reach Category 1 wind speeds? 50%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 10, 26, 1:59 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.
- Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade.
- Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.
- MARKET CREATOR DOES NOT TRADE IN THIS MARKET
