Ocean Acidification Should Be More Worrying Than Atmospheric Climate Change (Resolves to Probability)
WeatherOne-Off
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 50.3%
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38
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 15, 23, 4:56 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 5:59 AM UTC
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Rules
Of course climate change gets the majority of attention in popular press and Ocean Acidification is highly related to Climate Change due to carbon emissions.
- This is an attempt to have a clear parametric ratio view of how worrying Ocean Acidification is compared to Atmospheric Climate Change.
- While it may be difficult to purely disentangle the two phenomena from one another as the Ocean does appear to be a sink for atmospheric carbon, this bet represents a ratio of how worried we should all be about Ocean Acidification, which does not get much popular press coverage, vs. Atmosphereic Climate Change, which gets tons of press coverage.
- So for example, if we're at 50%, we should be equally worried about the two.
- If we're at 80%, we should be much more worried about Ocean Acidification (for whatever reasons are presented in the discussion).
- Resolves to probability.
