Manifold Markets 7-day average of Daily Active Users will be at least 29,000 by January 29, 2029 (1/29/29).
DailyTechBusiness & Corporate2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 80%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJun 22, 26, 3:02 PM UTCJan 28, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before January 29, 2029, the 7-day average of Daily Active Users (DAU) on Manifold Markets reaches at least 29,000.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of Truth: The metric will be verified using the official Manifold stats page.
- Specific Metric: Resolution will rely on the 7-day average of Active Users (not "Active Traders").
- Fallback Rule: If the official stats page is offline, defunded, or no longer displays this metric, the creator will resolve the market using official announcements from Manifold leadership, public database queries, or verified statements from the developers.