What are the current odds for Is Magnus Carlsen on Manifold??

Manifold Markets prices No at 97.5% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Is Magnus Carlsen on Manifold? resolve?

Is Magnus Carlsen on Manifold? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 97.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 58 minutes ago

Lagging

Oct 25, 23, 5:56 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves YES if I see definitive proof that one of you here on Manifold is Magnus Carlsen (the Chess world champion).

Will stay open until end of 2025 or until Magnus Carlsen joins Manifold.
I'll need something that definitively proves that the holder of the account is Magnus Carlsen.
I will not bet in this market.