What are the current odds for In what year will Major League Baseball expand to more than 30 teams??

Manifold Markets prices Not before 2032 at 68.9% as of October 26, 2026.

In what year will Major League Baseball expand to more than 30 teams?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Not before 2032 68.9%

Leader of 8 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 18 hours ago

Stale

Feb 20, 24, 7:50 PM UTCJul 2, 31, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

There are rumors of an expansion coming to Major League Baseball.

When I check this market in the future, I want to know what year the expansion will happen in.
The year that resolves Yes is the year where there are 31 or more teams, and the new team actually plays a game.
It can officially resolve Yes once 31 teams have played a game in a season.
Even if there are strong indications that this is going to happen, we should wait to resolve until it actually does.
Resolves the named outcome if it doesn't happen before July 2031.