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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. How far will the USA get in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Manifold Markets

How far will the USA get in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

SportsOne-OffSoccerFIFA World Cup1mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Past the Group Stage 82.9%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters

7

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jun 10, 26, 10:51 AMJul 19, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Past the Group Stage83%

Rules

For a response to resolve YES, they mustn't merely reach that stage of the tournament, they have to get past it.

Manifold Markets
  • For example, for "Past the Round of 16" they would have to win their Round of 16 match and reach the Quarterfinals.
  • I noticed that there wasn't a cumulative probability version of this market, which is the best way to do this kind of market.

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Rules

For a response to resolve YES, they mustn't merely reach that stage of the tournament, they have to get past it.

Manifold Markets
  • For example, for "Past the Round of 16" they would have to win their Round of 16 match and reach the Quarterfinals.
  • I noticed that there wasn't a cumulative probability version of this market, which is the best way to do this kind of market.