Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 9, 2026, 12:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 89.3%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 days ago
StaleAug 3, 25, 11:23 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes89%
Volume trend
$50Jul 82d of dataJul 9
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.