What are the current odds for Fortnite MAU down over 50% from peak before 2029?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63.4% as of October 25, 2026.

How is Fortnite MAU down over 50% from peak before 2029 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: According to good metrics, Fortnite monthly active users (MAU) decreases below half of peak.

One-OffEsports2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 7:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Yes 63.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

May 7, 23, 1:49 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 5:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

According to good metrics, Fortnite monthly active users (MAU) decreases below half of peak.