Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastAt least 350 steps 76.4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
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Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 25, 8:02 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
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If Cooper Lutkenhaus breaks David Rudisha's 800m World Record time of 1:40.91 before 2030, how many steps will he take in the race?
- The number of steps will include the first step that touches or crosses the finish line.
- This question will resolve N/A if Lutkenhaus does not run faster than 1:40.91 before 2030.
- If he runs faster multiple times, it will resolve to his step count in his first race in which he runs faster than Rudisha's 1:40.91.
- If he runs faster than 1:40.91, but does not get the world record because someone else in the race runs even faster, the question will still resolve to his step count in that race.
- Lutkenhaus' step counts from his last three 800m PRs:
