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APUSH cheater prop bets

One-OffSociety & Culture6mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYC

Current community forecast

has it p1 53.6%

Leader of 15 outcomes

Forecasters

39

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale

Apr 25, 26, 9:36 PMJan 1, 27, 12:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

has it p154%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Will resolve when there is a great consensus or if there is a definitive answer.

However, if it takes too long, it will resolve NA.
Update 2026-04-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A cheater is known to exist (based on teacher's account), but the identity of the cheater is unknown.
Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): All currently unresolved sub-markets will be resolved N/A in the near future if the cheater is still not caught.
Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Any sub-questions about whether the cheater "gets in any kind of trouble" will resolve N/A because the cheater's identity is unknown.
Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve N/A for unresolved options because even if the cheater gets caught and gets in trouble, there is no guarantee anyone will find out — so resolution criteria cannot be met.

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Rules

Will resolve when there is a great consensus or if there is a definitive answer.

However, if it takes too long, it will resolve NA.
Update 2026-04-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A cheater is known to exist (based on teacher's account), but the identity of the cheater is unknown.
Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): All currently unresolved sub-markets will be resolved N/A in the near future if the cheater is still not caught.
Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Any sub-questions about whether the cheater "gets in any kind of trouble" will resolve N/A because the cheater's identity is unknown.
Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve N/A for unresolved options because even if the cheater gets caught and gets in trouble, there is no guarantee anyone will find out — so resolution criteria cannot be met.