Current implied probability
Spain 99.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$25.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 12 days ago
StaleJul 11, 26, 5:12 AMJul 15, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
France0.1%
Spain99.9%
Draw0.1%
0.1%
99.8%
0.1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Spain
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall90% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $11.9M | $0 | 11 days ago | Open → |
 Rothera85% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $2.6M | $0 | 11 days ago | Open → |
 LimitlessThis page | Low | 100% | — | $25.6K | $0 | 12 days ago | |
 Futuur89% match · auto | Low | 95% | — | $2.7K | $0 | 12 days ago | Open → |
 Myriad90% match · linked | Low | 14% | — | $0 | $0 | 12 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Myriad
France vs. Spain: Who wins?
10.5 ptsClosed
+0.1pt60.6%
-0.1pt25%
-0.1pt14.4%
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
MYRIADAlso available on Polymarket
France vs. Spain
41.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Spain (100%)
+70.0pt100%
-41.0pt0%
-29.8pt0%
35 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$52M
24h Vol$11.9M
POLYMARKETAlso available on Futuur
France vs. Spain
Closed
Resolved
Spain (95%)
92.2%
4.8%
2.9%
22 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$3K
24h Vol$2.7K
FUTUURAlso available on Rothera
World Cup 2026 Semi-finals: Spain vs France — HTL
Closed
Resolved
Spain (100%)
100%
0%
0%
35 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$2.6M
24h Vol$2.6M
ROTHERARules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$9.2k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — Yesgodemperor-81213d ago
POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — Yesgodemperor-81213d ago$1.1k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — Yes0x000c…bcf313d ago
POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — Yes0x000c…bcf313d ago$3.4k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — YesTsetsefly195213d ago
POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — YesTsetsefly195213d ago$1.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — YesNow0913d ago
POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — YesNow0913d ago$1.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — Yesgameinvest13d ago
POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — Yesgameinvest13d ago$2.7k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — YesPVGrondal13d ago
POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — YesPVGrondal13d ago$7.2k95.0%POLYMARKETWill France vs. Spain end in a draw? — NoFaithful-Jazz13d ago
POLYMARKETWill France vs. Spain end in a draw? — NoFaithful-Jazz13d ago$8.0k90.8%POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — YesAnchored-Litigation13d ago
POLYMARKETWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? — YesAnchored-Litigation13d agoVolume trend
$25.6kJul 123d of dataJul 14
Related Markets
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
$950.7KHarry Kane: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
$176.8KKylian Mbappe: 13%
KALSHI
KALSHI
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
$75.9KTeam A: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Vinicius Junior: Next Club
$39.8KArsenal: 43%KALSHI
KALSHI
Champions League Winner
$38.5KReal Madrid: 16%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$27.6KSpain: 18%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
KuCoin Marks Major Sponsorship Milestone as Ambassador Pogačar Wins Record Fifth Tour de FranceBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Polymarket keeps Messi at 90.6% for Golden Ball after Mbappe Golden Boot leadBlockchain.News
Galaxy Digital’s $75 Million Texas Tech Stadium Deal Is Crypto’s Boldest Branding Bet YetBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket prices 'History' at 95% for Argentina–Spain broadcast phrase ladderBlockchain.News
Galaxy Digital plants its name on Texas Tech football stadiumCrypto NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.