What are the current odds for What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026??

Limitless prices ↑ $780 at 88.3% as of October 12, 2026.

When does What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026? resolve?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 16, 2026.

Where else is What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026? listed?

The same question is also listed on Polymarket.

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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?

CryptoOne-OffExchange Equities4d

LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

↑ $780 88.3%

Leader of 14 outcomes

Market quality

22 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$10.3

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Oct 9, 26, 10:05 PM UTCOct 16, 26, 8:00 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

↑ $810 · ↑ $800 · ↓ $745 · ↑ $795 · ↑ $805 · ↑ $780 · ↑ $785 · ↓ $775 · ↑ $790 · ↓ $755 · ↓ $750 · ↓ $770.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 12 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered.
Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits.
Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.

Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)

If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Prediction Source Comparison

2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for ↑ $780 is 89%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.

CoinRithm reference ↑ $780 89% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread