This market resolved: No
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 4:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 4:29 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes0.5%
No99.5%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Carlos Alcaraz back to ATP No. 1 in 2026?
FutuurWhich man younger than Carlos Alcaraz will win the most Grand Slam titles by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many grand slams will Carlos Alcaraz win before he retires?
Manifold MarketsHow many Sinner vs. Alcaraz Grand Slam finals in total we will see before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Djokovic - Alcaraz H2H, once one of them no longer plays professionally?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the ATP Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
- This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tommy Paul.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
