Current implied probability
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Carlos Alcaraz holds the World No. 1 position in the official PIF ATP Rankings (singles) at any point between this market's open and 23:59 UTC on 31 December 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- The primary resolution source is the official weekly PIF ATP Rankings as published by the ATP Tour on its official website (atptour.com).
- Resolution is based on the official published ranking; a position shown only in the ATP Live Rankings does not count until it is reflected in an official weekly ranking release.
- This is a first-truth market: the first official weekly ranking within the market period showing Alcaraz at No. 1 resolves it to "Yes", regardless of subsequent rankings.
- If the ATP does not publish a ranking that would otherwise be expected (for example, due to a tour suspension), the most recent official ranking release governs.
- In the spirit of the market, only the official ATP singles ranking determines the outcome; exhibition results, other ranking systems, and unofficial projections do not.