Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Nov 6, 2026, 8:33 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 73.5%
No 73.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Nov 6, 26, 1:00 AM UTCNov 7, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Carlos Alcaraz in the ATP Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
- This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Taylor Fritz.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz · Fritz vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.5 — Over 65%