This market resolved: Yes (97.5%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 8:00 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
56%
Current implied probability
Yes 97.4%
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleSep 16, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes97.5%
No2.6%
97.4%
2.6%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketWill Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2027 CoolFold Financial Portfolio outperform Nvidia / NVDA over the next 6 months?
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRules
Settles automatically against the Pyth price oracle for Equity.US.NVDA/USD (price observed within 5s before expiration).
Source: Pyth price oracle (Equity.US.NVDA/USD)
This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on September 17, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The price for NVIDIA (Pyth NVDA/USD) captured on September 16, 2026 was $213.83292.
Resolution source: Pyth NVDA/USD price feed.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.
- In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session on September 17, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVDA is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVDA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.