Current implied probability
No 56.5%
No 56.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 6, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev: Set 2 Winner
KalshiNovak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev: Exact Match Score
KalshiNovak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev: Set 1 Winner
KalshiNovak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev: Game Spread
KalshiChina Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev
PolymarketWill Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev in the ATP China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Daniil Medvedev.
- This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Novak Djokovic.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 43%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 43% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev · Djokovic vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 85%
- Also available on Futuur — Novak Djokovic vs. Daniil Medvedev · No 57%