This market resolved: No
Resolved: Oct 29, 2026, 5:20 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes0.5%
No99.5%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Carlos Alcaraz back to ATP No. 1 in 2026?
FutuurHow many grand slams will Carlos Alcaraz win before he retires?
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Manifold MarketsHow many Sinner vs. Alcaraz Grand Slam finals in total we will see before 2050?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Carlos Alcaraz in the ATP Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
- This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
